Miami Dolphins 2013 Draft Scenario’s

Published February 10, 2013 | By Max Lukas

Miami Dolphins 2013 Draft Scenario’s

Current needs: OT, CB, WR, DE, FS, TE

Point of note: It is in my opinion that whatever occurs at the Left Tackle position with Jake Long and at the Cornerback position with Sean Smith will shape Miami’s early draft rounds more so than any other position.

*Each scenario holds precedence over the scenario that follows it.

1st Round Draft Scenario’s

Scenario 1

Jake Long leaves and Jonathan Martin stays at RT
1st round Priority: Focus should be on LT
Prospects LT
OT	Luke Joeckel	(Top 5)	6-6	310
OT	Eric Fisher	(Top 10)	6-7	305
OT	Lane Johnson	(Top 20)	6-6	302

Scenario 2

Jake Long leaves and Jonathan Martin moves over to LT
1st round Priority: Miami may wait till 2nd or 3rd round to draft RT
Note: The top RT DJ Fluker is a beast who can be a perennial pro-bowler. But DJ Fluker is suited for a power based MBS. Miami may wait for a prospect at RT that can fit into their ZBS in the 2nd or 3rd round. Miami can therefore pursue CB, FS or DE with its first selection.
Prospects RT
OT	Oday Aboushi	(1-2)	6-5	310
OT	Chris Faulk	(2-3)	6-5	323
OT	Brennan Williams	(2-3)	6-7	315
OT	Rick Wagner	(2-3)	6-6	310
OT	DallasThomas	(2-3)	6-5	308
OT	JustinPugh	(3-4)	6-5	298
OT	Kyle Long	(3-4)	6-6	304
OT	Brian Winters	(3-4)	6-5	310
OT	David Bakhtiari	(3-4)	6-4	295
OT	David Quessenberry	(3-4)	6-5	294
OT	MenelikWatson	(3-4)	6-5	320

Scenario3

Jake Long re-signed and Sean Smith leaves
1st round Priority: Focus should be onCB
ProspectsCB
CB	Dee Milliner	(Top 10)	6-1	198
CB	JohnthanBanks	(Top25)	6-1	185
CB	Xavier Rhodes	(Top 25)	6-1	217
CB	Desmond Trufant	(1-2)	5-11	190

Scenario 4

Jake Long re-signed, Sean Smith re-signed or tagged and Olivier Vernon projects to be the starter at DE
1st round Priority: Focus should be on Safety
Note: IMO Kenny Vaccaro is the only Safety worth a first round pick. While Matt Elam and Eric Reid should go in the 2nd round. Also there are several quality Safeties who are potentially available in the 3rd round. If Vaccaro is unavailable, I will rather pass on Matt Elam and Eric Reid in the 2nd, in favor of drafting a Safety in the 3rd round. This will allow Miami to extract maximum value in other areas such as WR, CB, DE and OT with its 2nd round picks.
Prospects FS
FS	Kenny Vaccaro	(Top 20)	6-1	218
FS	Phillip Thomas	(2-3)	6-1	210
FS	T.J. McDonald	(3)	6-2	211
FS	Bacarri Rambo	(3)	6-1	215
FS	Tony Jefferson	(3-4)	5-11	212
FS	Jonathan Cyprien	(3-4)	6-0	209
FS	J.J. Wilcox	(4-5)	5-11	214
FS	Josh Evans	(4-5)	6-1	205

Scenario 5

Jake Long re-signed, Sean Smith re-signed or tagged and Olivier Vernon DOES NOT project to be the starter at DE
1st round Priority: Focus should be on DE
Note: My choice of DE over WR is simple. I believe this year there will be 1st round talent available in the 2nd round at WR. I would rather take a premier pass rusher at 12 or explore the option of trading back into the 20s and picking up quality a DE. Thus, looking towards the 2nd round for a WR.
Prospects DE
DE	Bjoern Werner	(Top 5)	6-4	256
DE	Damontre Moore	(Top 10)	6-4	250
DE	Dion Jordan	(1)	6-6	243
DE	Ezekiel Ansah	(1)	6-5	274
DE	Datone Jones	(1)	6-4	280
DE	Sam Montgomery	(1)	6-5	260
DE	Barkevious Mingo	(1)	6-4	240
DE	Alex Okafor	(1-2)	6-5	261
DE	Cornellius Carradine	(1-2)	6-4	265
DE	Malliciah Goodman	(2)	6-4	272

2nd Round Possibilities

Wide-Receiver (Possible 2nd rounders)
Prospects WR
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	(1-2)	6-1	200
WR	Terrance Williams	(1-2)	6-2	201
WR	Justin Hunter	(1-2)	6-4	200
WR	Quinton Patton	(1-2)	6-0	202
WR	Robert Woods	(1-2)	6-1	190
WR	Tavon Austin	(1-2)	5-9	175
WR	Aaron Dobson	(2-3)	6-3	203
WR	Markus Wheaton	(2-3)	5-11	183
WR	Marquise Goodwin	(2-3)	5-9	179
WR	Stedman Bailey	(2-3)	5-10	195
WR	Da’Rick Rogers	(2-3)	6-2	206
WR	Cobi Hamilton	(2-3)	6-2	199
WR	Chris Harper	(2-3)	6-1	228
WR	Marquess Wilson	(3)	6-3	188

Cornerbacks (Possible 2nd rounders)
Prospects CB
CB	Jordan Poyer	(2)	6-0	182
CB	Jamar Taylor	(2)	5-11	192
CB	David Amerson	(2)	6-2	194
CB	Robert Alford	(2-3)	5-10	186
CB	Will Davis	(2-3)	5-11	182
CB	Blidi Wreh-Wilson	(2-3)	6-1	192
CB	Logan Ryan	(2-3)	6-0	190

Defensive Ends (Possible 2nd rounders)
Prospects DE
DE	Alex Okafor	(1-2)	6-5	261
DE	Cornellius Carradine	(1-2)	6-4	265
DE	Malliciah Goodman	(2)	6-4	272
DE	Corey Lemonier	(2)	6-3	242
DE	Margus Hunt	(2)	6-8	277
DE	William Gholston	(2-3)	6-6	278
DE	Michael Buchanan	(2-3)	6-5	252
DE	Devin Taylor	(2-3)	6-7	275
DE	John Simon	(2-3)	6-2	260
DE	Lavar Edwards	(2-3)	6-3	272
DE	Brandon Jenkins	(2-3)	6-3	265

3rd Round Possibilities

Tight Ends (Possible 3rd rounders)
Note: Travis Kelce and Jordan Reed are the most athletic of this bunch, both are capable blockers and decent receivers. With Reed showing the best ability to gain YAC. Levine Toilolo is a better blocker than his heralded teammate Zach Ertz but he needs to show more consistent hands. I have Toilolo here as a 3rd round prospect, but he may be available in the 4th or 5th. Toilolo and fellow prospect Joseph Fauria create mismatches with their height and length, both can be effective Red Zone targets. However, Joseph Fauria has a tendency to stay high in his blocks and is often over-powered. TE Gavin Escobar has received recognition because ex-GM Scott Poili has him on his board, but I have seen very little of Gavin, I can’t put someone on my board that I have not seen.
Prospects TE
TE	Tarvis Kelce	(3)	6-5	260
TE	Jordan Reed	(3)	6-3	243
TE	Levine Toilolo	(3-4)	6-7	265
TE	Joseph Fauria	(3-4)	6-7	257
TE	Vance McDonald	(3-4)	6-4	262
TE	Dion Sims	(3-4)	6-5	285

4-3 OLB (Possible 3rd rounders)
Prospects OLB
OLB	Chase Thomas	(2-3)	6-3	241
OLB	Khaseem Greene	(2-3)	6-1	236
OLB	Brandon Jenkins	(2-3)	6-3	260
OLB	Sean Porter	(3)	6-1	231
OLB	Jamie Collins	(3)	6-3	245

Half-Backs (Possible 3rd rounders)
Prospects HB
RB	Joseph Randle	(3)	6-0	200
RB	Stepfan Taylor	(3)	5-9	216
RB	Johnathan Franklin	(3)	5-10	201
RB	Mike Gillislee	(3)	5-11	207
RB	Christine Michael	(3)	5-10	221
RB	Marcus Lattimore	(3-4)	6-0	220
RB	Kenjon Barner	(3-4)	5-9	188

4th – 5th – 6th – 7th Round Possibilities

HB	If Reggie Bush leaves and no Free Agent is signed, Miami will have to address the depth at HB

DT	If both Randy Starks and Tony McDaniel are not resigned, Miami will have to address the depth behind Jared Odrick at 3-tech DT

NT	With Paul Soliai on the last year of his contract, Miami could possibly look to draft a developmental replacement

WR	If a Free Agent WR isn’t signed, Miami will look toward further strengthening their receiving core with a late round prospect

QB	If a veteran QB isn’t signed to help Tannehill’s progress, Miami could look at adding a late round QB for depth and future trade value

OL	Miami can buy extra insurance along the Offensive Line at Guard or Tackle in the later rounds

Realistic Scenario

A)	- Jake Long Leaves
B)	- Jonathan Martin at LT
C)	- Sean Smith Franchised Tagged
D)	- 1st Round Selection –>	DE
E)	- 2nd Round Selection –>	WR
F)	- 2nd Round Selection –>	CB
G)	- 3rd Round Selection –>	RT
H)	- 3rd Round Selection –>	FS
I)	- 4th Round Selection –>	TE

THE BIG POSITIVE:

Even without factoring into account possible Free Agent signings, Miami is in a great position to help themselves in the 2013 NFL Draft.

Max Lukas

View all posts by Max Lukas

Rating: 4.5/5 (6 votes cast)

Miami Dolphins 2013 Draft Scenario's, 4.5 out of 5 based on 6 ratings

Posted in Max Lukas, NFL Draft | Tagged free agency, Jake Long, Jeff Ireland, miami dolphins, nfl combine, NFL Draft, Randy Starks, Reggie Bush, Sean Smith

6 Responses to Miami Dolphins 2013 Draft Scenario’s

Will Friedman on February 11, 2013 at 21:17

Spot on Boys !

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Roverick Blount on February 10, 2013 at 14:26

THIS IS STUPID!! How many playoff games have drafting lineman in the first rd gotten the Phins…I’ll wait! You give up? ZERO! We need the best wideout on the board in the first and in the second round. We need to build a young nucleus around Tannehill. Drafting the way you said in this article does nothing but keep our team mediocre.

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Ranadicus on February 10, 2013 at 10:39

WE DO NOT NEED A FREE SAFETY… https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2013/01/30/signature-stats-first-downs-allowed-safeties/ …I’m yelling becuase I’m tired of saying it. Further, Vacaro isn’t a free safety anyway and doesn’t project as one.

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- Joe Robbie on February 10, 2013 at 12:56
  
  @Ranadicus Yet another reason to dismiss PFF stats. You can’t take PFF stats as the gold standard. PFF has Eric Berry as the one of the worst safeties, do you agree that KC should cut Berry because PFF says he is crap? And Vaccaro can be both FS and SS. Did you know Reshad Jones played FS before moving to SS?
  
  Good logical article, although I would have liked to see a scenario with WR as being a primary option at 12. Cordarrelle!!!! But I like scenario #2, it frees up pick#12 to be used for CB or DE or WR.
  
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Max Lukas on February 10, 2013 at 08:58

Thanks for your comment. My philosophy is that I try not to predict what we will do in Free Agency with players from other teams, it becomes to much of a dream scenario and the permutations are endless. When we do actually land a Free Agent target, it’s only then do I restructure the board.

However, I do believe that Miami will be making some moves in Free Agency this year, and some of those UFA targets should be at the WR position, but until a deal is done, and the ink is dry on the contract, I will operate with the current roster.

But, whether or not we sign a WR in Free Agency, I still project WR to be taken in the 2nd round rather than at pick 12. The value is there at WR.

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rubedaddy on February 10, 2013 at 07:50

Good analysis The only caveat I would add to your scenario is we get a WR in free agency otherwise we will look for a WR at #1.

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