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Alabama S Mark Barron could spark trade-up war

The demand for S Mark Barron could be high.

I believe strongly in the philosophy of ignoring everything you hear within 72 hours of the NFL Draft.

But this? It makes too much sense. The Cowboys (pick #14) and Chargers (#18) are said to be in love with Alabama S Mark Barron:

“The secret is out: the Cowboys LOVE Alabama safety Mark Barron.” – Ian Rapoport, NFL Network’s Cowboys correspondent

“They love him. They’ve talked about it (trading up for Barron).” – Kevin Acee, U-T San Diego newspaper on Twitter

Such a competition for Barron’s service would benefit GM Jeff Ireland greatly if he plans on stockpiling picks intead of selecting QB Ryan Tannehill at #8. Ireland traded down in 2010 for DE Jared Odrick, and planned to do the same in 2011 before selecting C Mike Pouncey with the #15 pick.

The Chargers and Cowboys are in similar spots, both in record (8-8) and star power. But their time is running out. QB Tony Romo turned 32 on Sunday, and Philip Rivers will be 31 in December. Both are talented but underachieving teams who could be one playmaker away from putting their teams over the top.

I know. I know. It may be a smokescreen. But why? The Cowboys are in prime position at #14 to land an impact defender, whether it’s Barron or a DE like Fletcher Cox or Michael Brockers.

The Chargers have no reason to throw up a smokescreen, either. Barron isn’t expected to fall to #18 to begin with. Assuming he doesn’t, they’ll be able to choose from a deep class of pass rushers after ranking 24th in sacks last season, with OLB’s Nick Perry and Shea McClellan likely to be high on their board.

Chargers’ GM A.J. Smith would give up a pretty penny for Barron if his man-crush is real. After all, he threw out the draft value chart in the garbage in 2007 when he traded two 3’s and a 5 to move up 25 spots in the 2nd round up for Utah SS Eric Weddle. Weddle was rewarded with a 5-year, $40-million dollar contract last off-season and earned his first Pro Bowl in 2011. You can bet the possibility of pairing Barron with Weddle is more than tempting for Smith.

Whether it’s the Cowboys, Chargers, Eagles, or a mystery team, Jeff Ireland likely will have the option of moving down and acquiring at least another 2nd round pick. If a trade-war for Barron ensues, don’t be surprised if he gets TWO 2nd round picks from the Chargers to move down to #18.

Stay tuned. One more day.

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Fins Final Draft Board

Aahhh. I love the spring. If Mike Mayock ever came out with books on tape, I’d never stop reading.

So, here we are with the #8 pick. We don’t have to discuss it any further. If you’re like me, you want 1 of 3 things: Tannehill, a trade down, or a player who shockingly dropped into our laps (Richardson, Claiborne, Blackmon).

**PLEASE READ THESE 3 THINGS BEFORE CONTINUING**

1) For argument’s sake, I’ve left out what I call the “elite 6”: Luck, RG3, Richardson, Kalil, Claiborne, Blackmon. It’s possible Blackmon or Claiborne fall to #8, but unlikely. We can forget Richardson, who will go either #4 to the Browns or #5 to the Bucs.

2) Please don’t remind me that Quinton Coples is projected way higher than Stephen Hill, or a comment similar to this. You just have to trust me. I know where each player is projected to go. But what would be the fun in posting the consensus rankings?

3) Follow me on twitter @BrianCat13 (shameless promotion).

1) QB Ryan Tannehill, Texas A&M (6-4, 221)
NFL Comparison: Carson Palmer, Raiders (with more mobility)
The dropoff after Tannehill demonstrates why he is worth the risk at #8. He has 3 qualities that I like in a young QB: quick release, great feet, and a strong work ethic. OC Mike Sherman’s opinion of Tannehill will go a long way as well.

 

2) G David DeCastro, Stanford* (6-5, 316)
NFL Comparison: Steve Hutchinson, Seahawks (2001)
I know.. I know.. you’ll stop being a Dolphins fan once and for all if Ireland drafts another lineman in the 1st round. Hear ya. Like Steve Hutchinson, DeCastro will be a Top-5 OG the minute he steps on the field and will make 6-8 Pro Bowls by the time his career is finished. Can we say the same for the 11 listed below?

3) WR Stephen Hill, Georgia Tech (6-4, 215)
NFL Comparison: DeMaryius Thomas, Broncos
The best kept secret in the 2012 NFL Draft and the clear #2 WR on my board. Hill caught 29 passes for 820 yards (29.3 YPC) in GT’s triple-option offense. Instead of moping, Hill improved his blocking skills and hit the home run when his number was called. People are overthinking this guy. Mike Mayock said it best: “He’s raw, but if he can come in as a rookie and catch 40 passes and 7 TD’s, he’s worth a 1st round pick based on the immediate impact alone.”

4) LB Luke Kuechly, Boston College* (6-3, 242)
NFL Comparison: Jerod Mayo, Patriots
Can you believe Mel Kiper, Mike Mayock, Todd McShay, and Gil Brandt all have Kuechly among the 10 best players in this draft? He showed everyone at the combine that he’s more than just a lunchpail player by running a 4.50/40 with 27 bench press reps at 242 pounds. The 20-year-old Kuechly, whom Mayock calls “the best coverage LB I’ve ever scouted”, would give the Dolphins 3 LB’s who can run, hit, and cover.

5) DE Fletcher Cox, Mississippi St* (6-4, 296)
NFL Comparison: Ty Warren, Broncos (in his prime)
Cox reminds me of Ty Warren in his prime and a bigger, stronger Randy Starks today. He’s ideally suited to play DT in a 4-3 or DE in a 3-4, but scheme-diverse enough to play DE if Kevin Coyle uses as a regular 4-man front. Cox could play DE on 1st and 2nd down while moving inside to DT on 3rd-and-long. Ireland would be wise to dangle Cox as trade bait if Tannehill isn’t his guy.

6) OT Riley Reiff, Iowa* (6-6, 313)
NFL Comparison: Jordan Gross, Panthers
Reiff is sliding on draft boards because he lacks elite measurables and, just like college teammate Bryan Bulaga in 2010, he’s being looked at as an OG by some teams. No LT had better game tape than Reiff in 2011—not even Matt Kalil. He should start at RT from day one. He’s too big, strong, athletic, and talented to fail at every position but Center.

7) DE Nick Perry, USC* (6-3, 271)
NFL Comparison: Will Smith, Saints
I’ve heard a lot of complimentary comparisons with Nick Perry as both a DE (Will Smith and Osi Umenyiora) and a 3-4 OLB (LaMarr Woodley). He’s growing on me as a guy who could line up Week 1 opposite Cam Wake.

 

8 ) S Mark Barron, Alabama* (6-1, 213)
NFL Comparison: Sean Taylor, Redskins (2005)
Barron may be the best player available at #8 if we strictly look at 3 qualities: 1) Pure Football Skills. 2) Athleticism. 3) Difference-making ability. However, I have major concerns as to whether or not Barron can stay healthy for 16 games for 10 seasons with his physical style of play.

 

9) WR Kendall Wright, Baylor* (5-10, 196)
NFL Comparison: Greg Jennings, Packers
Wright fits the modern mold of today’s 1100-1200 yard WR: great hands and route-running ability, and plays fastest when the ball is in the air.

 

 

10) DE Whitney Mercilus, Illinois*(6-4, 261)
NFL Comparison: Trent Cole, Eagles
Mercilus led the NCAA in sacks (16) and forced fumbles (9) after having only 2 sacks in his career before the 2011 season. He’s a one-trick pony, but he’s pretty darned good at his trick. His NFL career could go one of two ways: he could emerge into a complete player like Trent Cole did when he was typecast as a one-dimensional pass-rusher coming out of Cincinnati in the 2005 draft, or prove as much like Everette Brown did when the Panthers wasted a 2nd round pick on in the 2008 draft.

11) DE Melvin Ingram, South Carolina (6-3, 272)
NFL Comparison: Chris Clemons, Seahawks
How I feel about Ingram depends on which team he goes to. The Eagles at #15, for example, would be a great fit because Ingram could be used in a Von Miller-type role (LB on 1st and 2nd downs, DE on 3rd). His incredible lower body strength and spin move has drawn comparisons to Dwight Freeney, which I think it a little overblown. I question whether or not he’d be able to fire off the snap and rack up double-digit sack totals as the 4-3 DE we are looking for.

12) WR Michael Floyd, Notre Dame (6-3, 220)
NFL Comparison: Marques Colston, Saints
Overrated. Highly overrated. I can’t justify taking Floyd at #8 if he can’t run away from people at the NFL level, and thus, lacks the potential to be an elite player. But if the Dolphins signed Marques Colston as a free agent, would he be our #1 WR? Absolutely.

 

Continue reading

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Draft Tannehill or not? It’s more than that

Is QB Ryan Tannehill worth the risk?

My vision is as follows.

It’s April 26th and I’m trembling. The Browns select RB Trent Richardson with the #4 pick. Bucs take CB Morris Claiborne at #5. Rams go with Blackmon at #6. The Jaguars, after bleeding the clock down for a trade-up partner, select WR Michael Floyd at #7.

It’s 8:51 ET. The Dolphins are on the clock at #8. Tick-tock. Tick-tock. After a short commercial break, the opening shot is a teary-eyed Ryan Tannehill on a cell phone with a Miami Dolphins hat on. For the first time in the 28 years I’ve been alive, the Dolphins have selected a QB in the 1st round.

At the conclusion of the draft, Jeff Ireland addresses the media with confidence. “Ryan has been high on our board for a several months, and we felt all along that he had a good chance to be there when we picked. Mike Sherman’s insight on Ryan after coaching him for 4 years at Texas A&M played a cruicial role in the decision, and he fits in perfectly with what we are trying to accomplish. We feel very good at the quarterback position with Ryan, Matt Moore, David Garrard.”

And, scene.

We can dream, can’t we?

The arguments against Tannehill are all accurate. He’s a reach at #8. He’s too raw to contribute in 2012. He quarterbacked a Texas A&M team that lost 4 of their last 5. He never had a signature win as a senior. I can’t refute a word of this.

But the arguments FOR Tannehill make more sense. He’s 6-4, 221 pounds with a quick release and great athleticism. Although a work-in-progress, he is every bit the prospect Jake Locker was last year when the Titans took him with the #8 pick. Chris Kouffman of universaldraft.com nailed it “On The Fin Side” a few weeks ago: “I have a hard time understanding anyone who can watch film of Tannehill at Texas A&M and then Jake Locker at Washington and NOT come away thinking Tannehill is the far better and more polished player, even though he played half as much as Locker.”

Tannehill immediately transforms a sloppy and embarrasing off-season, into a well-developed youth movement approved by Joe Philbin. Why did Jeff Ireland pass on Matt Flynn and Alex Smith? Because he wasn’t going to overpay for a slight upgrade when he felt Tannehill would be there at #8 in a watered-down QB market. Sounds like a plan, doesn’t it?

If Ireland passes on Tannehill at #8, it will only cement the notion that the Dolphins are throwing you-know-what at a wall and seeing what sticks at the QB position.

Matt Moore’s final 9 games last season were impressive: 142-232 (61.2%), 1791 yards, 15 TD’s, 5 INT’s. His QB rating in the last 9 games? 97.8. The team went 6-3 and put up an average of 24.7 PPG. These numbers were good enough to snub to snub Flynn and Smith for franchise QB money, and rightfully so.

Now.. if Ireland drafts Tannehill? It shows that he was holding out for a young player with elite capabilities in the long-term, while being competitive with Matt Moore in 2012.

If Jeff Ireland doesn’t draft Tannehill? He will have to explain to the fanbase that Matt Moore is our guy, we believe in him, and he’s the reason why Tannehill, Matt Flynn, and Alex Smith are not here. Oh, yeah, but he also lacks the skills to avoid a head-to-head competition with a 34-year-old QB in David Garrard who didn’t play football last year and was being pursued by no one until Ireland called. Make sense? Didn’t think so.

Tannehill is a risk. It’s time to take it. It’s the only thing that would make sense.

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